Modern Stochastics: Theory and Applications

We investigate the fractional Riemann-Liouville integral of a general continuous Gaussian process, focusing first on the functional weak convergence of suitably rescaled processes. Building on these results and recent theoretical advances, we deduce functional large deviation principles. For small times, the asymptotic behavior depends solely on the covariance of the underlying process at zero, while for large times, appropriate rescaling of the covariance is required and additional regularity assumptions must be imposed. A central aspect of our work is the explicit characterization of the reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces of the fractionally integrated processes, including concrete formulas for the related norms. As a notable special case, when the underlying Gaussian process is Gauss-Markov, the reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces and the covariance structure can be described explicitly, providing precise insights into the corresponding rate functions.

The expected exit time from the interval $[-1,1]$ is investigated for an autoregressive process defined recursively by Here, ε is a small positive parameter, $f:\mathbb{R}\mapsto \mathbb{R}$ is usually a contractive function and ${\{{\xi _{n}}\}_{n\ge 1}}$ is a sequence of i.i.d. random variables. In this paper, previous results for a linear function $f(x)=ax$ are extended to more general cases, with the main focus on piecewise linear functions.

This paper presents some extensions of recent noncentral moderate deviation results. In the first part, the results in [Statist. Probab. Lett. 185, Paper No. 109424, 8 pp. (2022)] are generalized by considering a general Lévy process $\{S(t):t\ge 0\}$ instead of a compound Poisson process. In the second part, it is assumed that $\{S(t):t\ge 0\}$ has bounded variation and is not a subordinator; thus $\{S(t):t\ge 0\}$ can be seen as the difference of two independent nonnull subordinators. In this way, the results in [Mod. Stoch. Theory Appl. 11, 43–61] for Skellam processes are generalized.