Modern Stochastics: Theory and Applications

A new multi-factor short rate model is presented which is bounded from below by a real-valued function of time. The mean-reverting short rate process is modeled by a sum of pure-jump Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes such that the related bond prices possess affine representations. Also the dynamics of the associated instantaneous forward rate is provided and a condition is derived under which the model can be market-consistently calibrated. The analytical tractability of this model is illustrated by the derivation of an explicit plain vanilla option price formula. With view on practical applications, suitable probability distributions are proposed for the driving jump processes. The paper is concluded by presenting a post-crisis extension of the proposed short and forward rate model.

Let $\{L(t),t\ge 0\}$ be a Lévy process with representative random variable $L(1)$ defined by the infinitely divisible logarithmic series distribution. We study here the transition probability and Lévy measure of this process. We also define two subordinated processes. The first one, $Y(t)$, is a Negative-Binomial process $X(t)$ directed by Gamma process. The second process, $Z(t)$, is a Logarithmic Lévy process $L(t)$ directed by Poisson process. For them, we prove that the Bernstein functions of the processes $L(t)$ and $Y(t)$ contain the iterated logarithmic function. In addition, the Lévy measure of the subordinated process $Z(t)$ is a shifted Lévy measure of the Negative-Binomial process $X(t)$. We compare the properties of these processes, knowing that the total masses of corresponding Lévy measures are equal.

The problem of European-style option pricing in time-changed Lévy models in the presence of compound Poisson jumps is considered. These jumps relate to sudden large drops in stock prices induced by political or economical hits. As the time-changed Lévy models, the variance-gamma and the normal-inverse Gaussian models are discussed. Exact formulas are given for the price of digital asset-or-nothing call option on extra asset in foreign currency. The prices of simpler options can be derived as corollaries of our results and examples are presented. Various types of dependencies between stock prices are mentioned.

In this paper we define the fractional Cox–Ingersoll–Ross process as $X_{t}:={Y_{t}^{2}}\mathbf{1}_{\{t<\inf \{s>0:Y_{s}=0\}\}}$, where the process $Y=\{Y_{t},t\ge 0\}$ satisfies the SDE of the form $dY_{t}=\frac{1}{2}(\frac{k}{Y_{t}}-aY_{t})dt+\frac{\sigma }{2}d{B_{t}^{H}}$, $\{{B_{t}^{H}},t\ge 0\}$ is a fractional Brownian motion with an arbitrary Hurst parameter $H\in (0,1)$. We prove that $X_{t}$ satisfies the stochastic differential equation of the form $dX_{t}=(k-aX_{t})dt+\sigma \sqrt{X_{t}}\circ d{B_{t}^{H}}$, where the integral with respect to fractional Brownian motion is considered as the pathwise Stratonovich integral. We also show that for $k>0$, $H>1/2$ the process is strictly positive and never hits zero, so that actually $X_{t}={Y_{t}^{2}}$. Finally, we prove that in the case of $H<1/2$ the probability of not hitting zero on any fixed finite interval by the fractional Cox–Ingersoll–Ross process tends to 1 as $k\to \infty $.

We investigate the pricing of cliquet options in a geometric Meixner model. The considered option is of monthly sum cap style while the underlying stock price model is driven by a pure-jump Meixner–Lévy process yielding Meixner distributed log-returns. In this setting, we infer semi-analytic expressions for the cliquet option price by using the probability distribution function of the driving Meixner–Lévy process and by an application of Fourier transform techniques. In an introductory section, we compile various facts on the Meixner distribution and the related class of Meixner–Lévy processes. We also propose a customized measure change preserving the Meixner distribution of any Meixner process.